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Gold at $3,400: bubble or new normal?

Gold has crossed the $3,400 mark. For many analysts an alarm signal — for others a confirmation of structural changes in the global financial system. We take stock.

The central bank story

The decisive driver is less classic inflation protection than strategic de-risking of state reserves. The People's Bank of China, the Reserve Bank of India and numerous EM central banks have massively increased their gold holdings over the past 24 months.