Free trial
  1. Home
  2. Blog
  3. Nvidia vs. ASML: Two routes to the AI boom

Nvidia vs. ASML: Two routes to the AI boom

If there is one consensus across global stock markets, it is this: semiconductors are the oil of the 21st century. But which of the two leading companies offers the better risk-reward ratio for private investors?

Nvidia: the platform builder

Nvidia has transformed in the past three years from a graphics card maker into the backbone of global AI infrastructure. The CUDA platform, once dismissed as a niche product, is today the de facto standard for AI training. With a market share of over 80% in AI accelerators, Nvidia holds a pricing power that has few equals.

«Nvidia does not sell chips — Nvidia sells the shovels in the gold rush of artificial intelligence.»

ASML: the quiet monopoly

While Nvidia is in the spotlight, ASML operates in the background — but with an even stronger moat. As the sole manufacturer of EUV lithography machines, ASML is indispensable for producing the most advanced chips. No ASML, no Nvidia. No ASML, no TSMC. The company has thereby achieved a structural irreplaceability that almost no other company worldwide can claim.

MetricNvidiaASML
P/E (2026e)38x32x
Revenue growth+84%+22%
Dividend yield0.03%1.1%
PA price target$185€850